My data science inclinations led me to ask: Is there anything in the data that could indicate how they may decide between defense and non-defense spending cuts like do they represent more defense industries and installations than those needing entitlements or vice versa?
One data set that stood out to me was the amount of annual entitlement benefits that flow back to their states or districts. Here are what the numbers show:
Member | State/ District | Billions (Annual) |
Sen. Patty Murray (D) | Wash | $14.8 |
Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R) | Texas | $1.6 |
Sen. Jon Kyl (R) | Ariz. | $14.2 |
Sen. Rob Portman (R) | Ohio | $27.4 |
Sen. Pat Toomey (R) | Pa. | $34.4 |
Sen. Max Baucus (D) | Mont. | $2.4 |
Sen. John Kerry (D) | Mass. | $14.9 |
Rep. Dave Camp (R) | Mich. | $2.1 |
Rep. Fred Upton (R) | Mich. | $1.8 |
Rep. Xavier Becerra (D) | Calif. | $0.5 |
Rep. James Clyburn (D) | S.C. | $1.6 |
Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D) | Md. | $1.3 |
The chart above of Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid data of super committee members by the Strengthen Social Security.Org show that two Republican Senators (Toowmey and Portman) have the largest sum total benefits on their states. So one would think they would favor preserving entitlements over defense spending budget cuts.
In addition, two Senators also have smaller than average contributions from Political Action Committees (PACs) according to the Maplight Contribution Profile of Members of the Deficit ‘Super Committee’.
The top 10 industry and top 10 organization contributors to super committee members do not seem to show any pattern that would suggest how those contributions might influence the outcome.
Certainly we will need to see data on the proposed bugdet cuts that shows specific agencies, programs, and recipient locations like at Recovery.gov which the author has analyzed recently. Unfortunately, there was so much missing data that a rigorous analysis was not possible. Hopefully, that will not be the case this time as the American people deserve better. The data science details behind this work are shown here.